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基础设施融资的新思路和新方法(2)

中国金融信息网2016年06月13日23:57分类:人民币动态

核心提示:金融科技所释放的竞争压力有利于推动现有体系变得更为开放、包容、高效与实际。这也将引导金融部门回到它的根本和初心:服务实体经济,基础设施融资毫无疑问是其中的重要部分。时至今日我们缺的并不是远见,也不是技术、意愿、机会、资金或是存款。我们缺的是基础设施融资的新思路和新方法。这种思路和方法必将在新科技条件下,通过我们的协同努力而实现!

英文原文:

The World Need a New Approach to Infrastructure Financing

Dr.Ben Shenglin贲圣林

Professor,Zhejiang University

The Gap

It is awell-known number to many of us here: Asia alone requires an estimated infrastructure investment of USD 800 billion per annum, according to Asia Development Bank. There is a significant gap between the requirements and the capacity of current multilateral development institutions: ADB and World Bank has a total loan book of USD 56 billion and USD 290 billion respectively. To acertain extent, the gap has led to the creation of Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) with a particular focus on infrastructure financing.However AIIB, even with its larger registered capital (targeted at USD 100billion as compared to USD 16.9 billion and USD 10 billion respectively for ADB and WB), will not be able to close the huge gap of demand.

In the meantime, the private sector (financial institutions)’ participation in infrastructure financing appears to be very limited and worryingly decreasing as global banks have become more focused on trading activities and less willing to book long term loans, as evidenced in their increasingly lower loan-to-asset ratios. Our financial system today is much more “markets-oriented” and speculative in nature, and the trading culture of financial institutions is more pronounced:in 2015, global foreign exchange trading volume was 26 times of global GDP and in China the stock trading volume/stock market capitalization was over 500%! Not with standing the fanfare, public-private-partnership, or PPP, has not been working in infrastructure financing.

The Paradox

On the other hand, the general public has had very little participation or avenues to participate in infrastructure financing, thanks to the existent system andcost structure of its prevailing business models. This is probably one of thevery rare occasions that the Main Street and Wall Street have something in common: little participation in financing real infrastructure needs.

What is both frustrating and contradictory is that while savers are getting (closer to) nil or negative interest rates across the world (and in suchcircumstances many of them are forced to save more for retirement), the financial system has failed to deploy the excess savings to where the money isrequired for the real economy and real needs of the world such as infrastructure financing, which is what financial intermediation is supposed to do. Therefore, the financial system and markets have either performed poorly or failed miserably in intermediating savings to loan and investment opportunities, in terms of both efficiency and effectiveness.

The Solution

Arethere solutions to the paradoxes and contradictions? If there are, where are they? We believe that there are solutions and the solutions reside with digital technology.  Digital technology can helpestablish or enhance connectivity between nations and regions (such as the NewSilk Initiative which encompasses Asia-Europe inter-continental collaboration);between public and private sectors; between savers and investors/borrowers; andover the spans of time (maturity intermediation between shorter-tenor ofdeposits and longer-term nature of infrastructure financing). With new digitaltechnology, there will be more visibility and transparency of the connectivity,and therefore more trust, which is the foundation of a functional financialsystem. The digitization of finance also provides the much needed efficiency,near-zero cost, lower barrier for investment, and broader participation of thegeneral public, all of which are hallmarks of “inclusive finance” that we areaiming to achieve in today’s “sharing economy”.

These are not just imaginative technologies. The application ofdigital finance has already been widely seen in the name of FinTech,particularly in some emerging markets like China and India. FinTech will notonly compete but also complement existent solutions including multilateralinstitutions, private sector banks and bond markets to plug the gap ofinfrastructure financing. More importantly the competitive pressure thatFinTech has been unleashing will also help the existent system become moreinclusive, participative, efficient and effective. This will help guide thefinancial sector to focus back on its roots and original purposes: serving realneeds of the economy, infrastructure financing included.

The Conclusion

Over700 years ago, the legendary European, Marco Polo, went to China and it tookhim a lot of courage and time (24 years) to return and thus share his Silk Roadstories with the world.

Today,there is the New Silk Road initiative, the so-called One Belt & One Road strategyproposed by China. Compared to 13th century, any story sharing todaycan be instant!

Ladies and gentlemen, today we are NOT short of vision, nor are we short of technologies, will, opportunities, money and savings.  What are needed is a new mindset and a newapproach to infrastructure financing, enabled by the new technology andconcerted effort from all!

Thankyou!

(Dr. Ben Shenglin is also Executive Director of InternationalMonetary Institute, Renmin University of China. This article is based on theauthor’s speech at the host country event, titled “New Asian-EuropeanApproaches on Finance & Infrastructure”, part of Asia Development BankAnnual Conference program in Frankfurt, Germany on May 3, 2016.)

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